Monday, October 4, 2010

Obama's Approval Numbers From Gallup And What They Mean For Midterms


(Click image to enlarge)



Barack Obama is not on any ballot this November but historically a President that registers less than 50 percent approval going into midterms elections, bodes badly for the party in power.

Gallup's findings here and Andrew Malcolm from Top of the Ticket makes the list easy to understand.

The good news for President Obama is his popular support among blacks is holding steady at 91%.

[...]

Democrats (79%) and liberals (75%) still like Obama a lot.

But after that, his approval percentage goes to the deep south. Support among even young people is down: 57%. Hispanics: 55%. Moderates: 54%. Unmarrieds: 53%. Easterners: 52%. Women: 47%. Midwesterners and Westerners: 45%.

Men: 43%. Southerners: 41%. Independents: 40%. Marrieds: 39%. Seniors: 38%. Whites: 36%. Conservatives: 23%.


Historically, according to Gallup, the average seat loss for the party in power when a president holds less than 50 percent approval ratings, is 36 seats.

Republicans need 39 seats in the House of Representatives to turn control over from Democrats to the GOP.

Factor in the two most unpopular political leaders are Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid, respectively, and the midterms are a very scary prospect for Democrats up for election and reelection.

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