By Kevin
Mooney
Democrats are better prepared this time around for the mid-term
elections than they were in 1994 when they lost control of congress and a
sitting house speaker was defeated, The New York Times informs readers
in a piece that is replete with wishful
thinking and cheerleading.
“Unlike 1994, when Republicans shocked Democrats by capturing dozens
of seats held by complacent incumbents, there will be no sneak attacks
this year,” the report observes. “Democrats have sensed trouble for
more than a year, with the unrest from town-hall-style meetings last
August providing indisputable evidence for any disbelievers. The result
has been to goad many Democrats into better preparation: more
fund-raising, earlier advertising, lots of time on the campaign trail.”
This is partially true in that President Obama’s declining poll
numbers have not translated over into public enthusiasm for the
Republican Party. Special elections held earlier this year demonstrate
that Democrats who hold out against overspending can prevail over
uninspiring Republicans. Rep. Ike Skelton, a Missouri Democrat, is very
attuned to the policy preferences of his conservative district and
voted against several Obama initiatives. He is cited as an example here
of someone who Republicans will find difficult to dislodge. Fair
enough.
However, there is no escaping the growing danger to incumbent
Democrats who have been complicit in advancing unpopular public policy
measures.
The Cook Political report,
for instance, has seen an uptick in the number of House seats now
leaning Republican. It also envisions a scenario in which Republicans
could actually capture control of the Senate; something that was
unthinkable to most analysts at outset of 2009.
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