The Wall Street Journal reports that President
to Renew Muslim Outreach, and in fact the assassination of Osama
bin Laden is suppsed to be connected to that outreach:
"It's an interesting coincidence of timing—that he is killed at the
same time that you have a model emerging in the region of change that is
completely the opposite of bin Laden's model," Ben Rhodes, deputy
national security adviser at the White House, said in an interview.
Since January, popular uprisings have overthrown the longtime
dictators of Tunisia and Egypt. They have shaken rulers in Libya,
Bahrain, Syria, Yemen and Jordan, marking the greatest wave of political
change the world has seen since the fall of the Berlin Wall.
While it is awfully generous of Mr. Rhodes to give us a preview of
Obama's speech, it is somewhat odd to claim that bin Laden would be
displeased with the current turn of events and that they are inimical to
his goals.
After all, bin Laden did not look favorably on the rulers of these
regimes--and indeed a number of them appear to be on their way out.
Osama bin Laden wanted a return to Sharia law--and the Muslim
Brotherhood is edging towards that goal in Egypt. In other Arab
countries facing similar upheavals, there is fear that regime change may
result in similar opportunities for Islamists.
Obama has been caught flat-footed before in the Middle East, insisting
on the centrality of the creation of a Palestinian State to Middle East
stability at a time when according to Wikileaks the Arab leaders
were--and are--more concerned with the threat of Iran.
Likewise, Obama's insistence on Israeli concessions on settlements,
instead of leaving it as an issue for negotiation, as it had always been
before, arguably forced Abbas to insist on the same concessions and set
peace talks backwards.
Now Obama will insist that Osama's dream was dead before he was.
He will have to convince an Arab world that had already begun losing
confidence in Obama even before the US had killed the man many Arabs
call a martyr and Holy Warrior.
Bottom line, this trip with this goal at this time is something of a
risk for Obama--both for his foreign policy and his reelection chances.
UPDATE: I think my pessimism is justified:
Muslim
Brotherhood in Egypt: Brotherhood and Brotherhood and Salafists to form
election coalition
Egyptian newspaper Al Masry Al Youm reports Muslim Brotherhood and
Salafist groups to form coalition in parliamentary elections to
‘preserve the Islamic nature of Egypt’.
...This move contradicts a current tendency in the British media to
emphasise distance between the two Islamic movements. Muslim Brotherhood
Member Sobhi Saleh is quoted, saying that‘recent attacks on
the Islamic groups brought us together’.
Although they now claim to have renounced violence, Jama'a
al-Islamiya was responsible for a number of terrorist atrocities in
Egypt throughout the 1990s, including the 1997 Luxor Massacre, in which
62 people were killed.
And yes, bin Laden was
Salafist.
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